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Prediction for CME (2015-11-09T13:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2015-11-09T13:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9673/-1 CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-11-11T20:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) Confidence that the CME will arrive: 50.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: Other (SIDC) Prediction Method Note: :Issued: 2015 Nov 10 0850 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# A partial CME was recorded by Cactus at 14:00 on 2015-Nov-09. The CME had a velocity of 585 km/s +/- 247 km/s. The CME was directed mainly to the East, but the source region was located near solar disk centre, therefore a glancing blow may be encountered at L1 and Earth. Any Earth directed component can be expected to reach Earth around 2015-Nov-11 at 20:00 UT +/-12hours #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # # # # Legal notices: # # - Intellectual Property Rights: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/data-policy-en.pdf # # - Liability Disclaimer: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/disclaimer-en.pdf # # - Use and processing of your personal information: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/privacy-policy-en.pdf # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#Lead Time: 33.60 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-11-10T10:24Z |
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