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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2015-11-09T13:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-11-09T13:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9673/-1
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-11-11T20:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 50.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note: 
:Issued: 2015 Nov 10 0850 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
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# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #
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A partial CME was recorded by Cactus at 14:00 on 2015-Nov-09. The CME had a velocity of 585 km/s +/- 247 km/s. The CME was directed mainly to the East, but the source region was located near solar disk centre, therefore a glancing blow may be encountered at L1 and Earth. Any Earth directed component can be expected to reach Earth around 2015-Nov-11 at 20:00 UT +/-12hours
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Lead Time: 33.60 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-11-10T10:24Z
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